Can Secret Oath beat the boys and make horse racing history? Saturday’s $1.25 million Arkansas Derby at Oaklawn Park (post time 7:35 pm ET) is no longer just qualifying preparation for the Kentucky Derby on May 7. It is a race that must be seen.
Award 100 points and secure entry to the Race for the Roses. The 40-point prize for second will also secure a place in the Derby, as will the 20-point prize for third place. Click PLAY NOW below for a risk-free bet of up to $300.
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History of horse racing?
No filly has earned a Kentucky Derby qualifier since the points system was adopted in 2013. That may change in the Arkansas Derby. Secret Oath has won his last three races by 23 lengths. And his trainer, D. Wayne Lukas, is the only trainer in the last half-century to win a Kentucky Derby prep with a filly, according to kentuckyderby.com.
Lukas did it with Althea in the 1984 Arkansas Derby, Winning Colors in the 1988 Santa Anita Derby (G1), and Serena’s Song in the 1995 Jim Beam (G2), now known as Jeff Ruby.
Only three fillies have won the Kentucky Derby: Winning Colors in 1988, Genuine Risk in 1980, and Regret was the first in 1915. Each competed against males before running in the Kentucky Derby. Winning Colors and Genuine Risk are the only two fillies to compete in all three Triple Crown races.
A total of 40 fillies have run in the Kentucky Derby, and six were postseason favorites. No filly has entered the Derby since Devil May Care finished 10th in 2010. Eight Belles finished second in 2008 and is the only other filly to enter the Derby this century. No filly has won a Triple Crown race since Rachel Alexandra in the Preakness in 2009.
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2022 Arkansas Derby Morning Line Odds
Lukas’ latest entry battles a field that includes the one-eyed One Ojo, who won the Rebel Stakes 75-1, along with up-and-coming We The People and Doppelganger. The odds for any horse you bet will not be locked until the time of publication, as per parimutuel regulations.
| Horse | odd | Coach | Jockey | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kavod | 15-1 | Chris Hartman | mitchell murrill |
| two | chasing time | 12-1 | steve asmussen | Jose Lezcano |
| 3 | barber’s way | 6-1 | Juan Ortiz | Reylu Gutierrez |
| 4 | Double | 9-2 | tim yakteen | John Velasquez |
| 5 | An eye | 6-1 | Ricky Courville | Ramon Vasquez |
| 6 | secret oath | 5-2 | D.Wayne Lucas | louis contreras |
| 7 | ben diesel | 20-1 | dallas stewart | jon cut |
| 8 | cyber knife | 8-1 | Brad Cox | Florent Geroux |
| 9 | We the People | 7-2 | Rudolph Brisset | Flavian Prat |
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past performances
1. Kavod (15-1)
Bring the party to life like a pacemaker. A gun and go type that looks ideally suited or a mile. I’ll try nine furlongs here.
He finished a fourth and gritty game in both the Southwest and the Rebel Stakes. He lasted longer in the Rebel and ended up closer. He can be passed again, but from a fan’s point of view, he makes the race. He will contend for the bottom of the super.
2. Chase time (12-1)
He made a good run towards the leaders down the Rebel stretch, but couldn’t make it through and finished fifth. He would need a fast pace and an upgrade to get into the money picture.
3. Barber Way (6-1)
The results of the last two races suggest that this distance may be suitable for him. He ran out of real estate in Southwest and Rebel, finishing second behind Newgrange and third just behind One Eye, respectively. Bettors would expect him to be in surprising position at the top of the lane, benefit from the longer run and hold the charge seen in those two races. Live, it will be played.
4. Double (9-2)
His bets were improved last week. Amid trainer Bob Baffert’s suspension and his subsequent lawsuit against Churchill Downs, Doppelganger was transferred to trainer Tim Yakteen to be eligible for Kentucky Derby qualifying points. He did not receive the 20 qualifying Derby points for finishing second to Forbidden Kingdom in San Felipe.
Under his new manager, he would come into the Derby finishing first or second, maybe even third. Second race extending to a distance. He ran well; although, behind a dominant Forbidden Kingdom in the San Felipe. Forbidden Kingdom’s impressive 98 Beyer speed figure indicates that Doppelganger could make sense here with an early upgrade. He ships from California to Arkansas. New surface.
5. One Eye (6-1)
A betting favorite of the sentimental public. He somehow made it to 75-1, moving from a runner-up finish to Early Voting at Withers at Aqueduct, and won a thrilling rebel stretch duel. He got a trip to save ground on the road, a break when he went wide in the corner and went out onto Barber Road and Ethereal Road. He has run well two races in a row. He ran late in both, would figure for the same. Only horse in the race to have covered the 1 1/8 mile distance. He must be respected.
6. Secret Oath (5-2)
Here comes the filly. He needed horse racing room going into the final stretch of the Honeybee, he got it and won by seven lengths at odds of 1-5. The time of 1:44.74 for the 1 1/6 miles was quicker than Un Ojo’s winning time of 1:45.69 over the same track and distance in the Rebel. Featured last. Beyer Speed Figure of 92 on Honeybee is the best in the field. Excellent value if this price holds.
7. Ben Diesel (20-1)
Hit a wall or had a bad day in the Rebel? He was right there in the Southwest, only missing second place behind Barber Road. He didn’t progress in the Rebel, he was left with an uninvolved eighth behind the horses that are in this race. Form two races back would put him on the sidelines. It’s hard to see beyond that. He could be the pace factor.
8. Cybernetic Blade (8-1)
Winning time at Fair Grounds in Allowance Optional Claiming at this distance in 1:42.53 was about four seconds quicker than his previous effort at Lecomte. He is the best in this field and suggests that he can compete. On the other hand, Kupuna ran second to him that day and was outclassed in the recent Louisiana Derby. That suggests the task of returning to a high-stakes company is too high. He now he goes to Oaklawn, a new surface, with a new distance. mixed signals. It will be used on some banknotes.
9. We the people (7-2)
It follows a successful pattern we just saw, which was Zozos graduating from Allowance Optional Claiming to second place in the Louisiana Derby. Here comes a 2-5 Allowance Optional Claiming graduate, fresh off a hand-ridden five-length win in a solid time of 1:43.66. Slightly competitive, 2 for 2, very nice. He must avoid the speed duel that nearly occurred in his last race. Florent Geroux was able to stop him then. That will be Flavien Prat’s job now that Geroux is at Cyberknife.
beat preview
Does Cyberknife, Chasing Time, Ben Diesel or We the People go early with Kavod? Where do closers position themselves early?
How am I betting this race
winning bet
I like the filly at the top based on track experience and projected improvement. It will take a winning bet pop at 9-5 or higher. However, recent favorites have gone all-in and 4-5 in these Kentucky Derby buildups.
Exactly
I’ll take an exact picture 6-9 at the beginning of the edge of the Oaklawn track. You should take a box of 6-4 coverage in case We The People get compromised in a speed duel. He’ll take a position that Barber Road likes the extra distance and put him in the exact slot with Secret Oath. An Eye also falls into that category.
trifecta
You will add a trifecta key of $1 with the 6 on top of the 3,5,9. ($6 bet). Cyberknife and Doppelganger on a ticket below plus if the betting odds look correct.
final thoughts
Can Kavod stay fourth if they can’t put the pressure on him? You can go as low as you want and try as many combos as you want, it’s just a matter of how much to dish out. But I’ll start with Secret Oath. That is most of the money if your odds are still playable. Enjoy horse racing.
Kentucky Derby Standings
The top 20 healthy horses in the standings after all KY Derby prep races have been completed will be eligible to enter the Run for the Roses on the first Saturday in May.
| Rank | Horse | Points | Coach |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Epicenter | 164 | Steven M Asmussen |
| two | Crown Pride (JPN) | 100 | Kōichi Shintani |
| 3 | classic driveway | 66 | Brian A Lynch |
| 4 | Slow down Andy | 60 | Doug F. O’Neill |
| 5 | An eye | 54 | Anthony W Durow |
| 6 | Simplification | 54 | Anthony Sano |
| 7 | forbidden kingdom | fifty | richard mandela |
| 8 | Morello | fifty | steve asmussen |
| – | * Summer is tomorrow | 40 | Bhupat Seemar |
| 9 | zozos | 40 | Brad Cox |
| 10 | Smile happy | 30 | Kenneth G. McPeek |
| eleven | Medina Pioneer | 25 | Todd Pletcher |
| 12 | Grantham | twenty-one | mic maker |
| 13 | rattle n roll | twenty | Kenneth G. McPeek |
| 14 | ethereal path | twenty | D.Wayne Lucas |
| fifteen | Island Hawk (IRE) | twenty | Saeed bin Suror |
| sixteen | In time | twenty | Kelly Breen |
| 17 | dean’s list | twenty | Todd Pletcher |
| 18 | barber’s way | 18 | Juan Ortiz |
| 19 | papacap | 14 | Mark E. Casse |
| twenty | Zandon | 14 | Chad C. Brown |
| twenty-one | Shipsational | 14 | Ed Barker |
| 22 | White Quarter | 12 | SaffieJoseph, Jr. |
| 23 | mo donegal | 12 | Todd A. Pletcher |
| 24 | chalk the bomb | 10 | Kenny McPeek |
| 25 | major general | 10 | Todd A. Pletcher |
| 26 | running attack | 10 | Kenneth G. McPeek |
| 27 | Early Voting | 10 | Chad C. Brown |
| 28 | call me midnight | 10 | J. Keith Desormeaux |
| 29 | delivery courier | 10 | Kelly J Breen |
| – | *Bendoog | 10 | Bhupat Seemar |
| 30 | happy cat | 10 | Doug O’Neill |
| 31 | oh captain | 10 | Gustavo Delgado |
| 32 | gold code | 10 | Todd Pletcher |
*Not nominated for Triple Crown; can become eligible with a $6,000 payment due March 28
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