Click the arrow to expand Valero Texas Open 2022 odds via PointsBet
Valero Texas Open 2022 Odds
|Bryson De Chambeau||+2800|
|If Woo Kim||+2800|
|List of Luke||+5500|
|Myth William Pereira||+6000|
|ryan palm tree||+7000|
|Charles Howell III||+9000|
|Matthew Ne Smith||+9000|
|Andrew D. Putnam||+15000|
|Min Woo Lee||+15000|
|Song Kang |||+30000|
|Dawie van der Walt||+50000|
We have one more stop before Augusta National, and that’s the Valero Texas Open.
TPC San Antonio is hosting the final stop on the PGA TOUR before the Masters, and it could send one more player to Georgia next week. We’ve seen players win this tournament before and get their ticket to Augusta, so why shouldn’t it happen again?
This is where the head of our GolfBet team is this week. While big names like Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama and Bryson DeChambeau are on the court, their focus is on playing well. They have their flights booked Sunday night for Augusta.
Check out the golfers our team of betting analysts believe are set to thrive this week in the Lone Star State below, including how to back them.
2022 Valero Texas Open Best Bets
Sahith Theegala – Top 10 (+600)
Jason Sobel: I’m not saying Theegala is going to enjoy a Scottie Scheffler or Sam Burns type progression in his career over the next 12-24 months…but I’m not saying that either.
Theegala has been outstanding at all levels of competition so far, and that sometimes includes the PGA TOUR. In addition to that third-place share after being the 54-hole leader at Phoenix, Theegala was T7 at Tampa and T22 at Puntacana in his last two starts.
I’ll be throwing it downright (+7500) this week as well, given that it won’t be long before we’ll ever see Theegala again at that kind of price, especially in that kind of area. Jump on it while you still have the chance.
Kevin Streelman +6500
Chris Murphy: One of the players I had in mind to start the week was Kevin Streelman. He has really come back to form in his last two tournaments after a slow start to the year, especially in the run-up.
Streelman really found his shackles at THE PLAYERS, earning 3.7 shots on that elite field and continued his solid approach play the following week at Valspar. He now associates that game with an off-court game where he hasn’t lost a shot against any field this year and has always been strong in that metric.
The Valero is always a course where hitting the ball comes first and Streelman is certainly a player who is getting in shape in both aspects. He also has a solid history at this event, including Top 10s in his last two trips to TPC San Antonio. We know he will be fully motivated to improve on those results this week in hopes of qualifying for next week’s Masters.
The way Streelman is starting to put everything together ahead of a run he knows well makes me love his chances of being a name to watch this weekend, especially at +6500.
Brendan Steele +8000
matt vincent: My favorite bet on the board this week is Brendan Steele. In his last two starts at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS, Steele has gained 10.1 and 9.5 shots from tee to green. He’s placed second in the pack in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee in his last 24 rounds, which has been statistically hugely significant at this event in the past.
Steele’s combination of distance and precision with the driver makes it an ideal course for TPC San Antonio. In his last five starts, he has averaged 9.7 shots down the field in driving distance and 2.9 shots down the field in driving accuracy.
Steele’s primary concern is still the putter. That being said, when evaluating golfers who putt poorly overall, it is important to target those who are capable of having “peak” putting weeks. The 38-year-old is a perfect example of that.
Although he has lost strokes on the field in 25 of his last 40 events, he has nine tournaments where he has gained more than 4.0 strokes with the putter. To win a golf tournament, Steele doesn’t have to be a great putter; he needs to have a great putting week. The numbers prove he’s more than capable of doing it.
Steele has three PGA TOUR wins on his resume. Of the three, two came on the same course (Safeway Open 2016 and 2017). It shows me that Steele is a golfer who continually plays well on the same courses and is a true horse-for-the-course type golfer.
As for Steele’s third PGA TOUR win? You guessed it: the Valero Texas Open in 2011. If he can win the Safeway twice, there’s no reason he can’t run it this week at TPC San Antonio when he’s in excellent shape.
Aaron Baddeley—Top 40 (+360)
Rob Bolton: Much like the TPC Sawgrass recently (but no matter the conditions), the TPC San Antonio is to be respected more as the host of a reckless game of dice than as a fatality. As winners threaten and hit 20 cents on the stock by 72, the danger is amplified. You have to be careful there. This also applies to golfers!
Ball hitters should thrive, but the setup throws a bone with precision off the tee while keeping approach accuracy in its lane. Touch around and on the greens has a greater chance to shine here too. See: Spieth, Jordan; champion 2021.
Baddeley also checks that last box. Fellow Aussie Greg Norman designed the course, so there’s a level of comfort built in.
Badds was a medalist in open qualifying on Monday, and that’s a good thing because he’s a no-brainer for this prop. He’s 8-for-8 with seven top 40s at TPC San Antonio — all of which were top 30s — including on each of his last five trips dating back to 2015.
He is also one of my sleepers on PGATOUR.com.
Mito Pereira – Top 20 (+250)
Landon Silinsky: Another week, another article on Mito Pereira.
I’m sorry, but this guy is an absolute monster ball striker. If he putts to zero, he can wrestle anywhere, anytime. Taking a long-term view and going back 48 laps, the Chilean’s ranking in this area reads as follows: 20th off the start, fourth on the approach, fifth on the tee-to-green and third in total strokes gained . Monster.
If you take out THE PLAYERS where he caught the wrong side of the draw, he made 10 of 13 cuts on the year with eight top 31s and a pair of top 10s. Bermuda is also his best putting surface, that which will be presented at TPC San Antonio this week.
Sign me up for a top 20.
Patton Kizzire: +6600 overall and +600 in top 10
Derek Farnsworth: Many will be looking at ball forwards this week, and that’s definitely a strategy I can adopt. However, Kizzire is an elite putter who is starting to come alive with his ball shots. If he can combine those two this week, I could easily see him win his third TOUR title.
The big question mark for Kizzire this week is his driver. If it does not lack distance, it lacks precision. If he can find a way to earn some shots with the driver, the rest of his game should follow. In his last five starts, he has won more than 13 approach shots.
In his debut here last year, he finished T9 with gains of 8.1 on approach and 3.6 on putt. He will look to replicate that this week on the back of five straight cuts. My plan is to put a pinch on the top 10 and a pinch on the top 10.
Patton Kizzire +6600
Bryan Berryman: The data suggests a stellar performance is on the horizon for Patton Kizzire, who has played well above his baseline so far in 2022.
Over the last 24 rounds, Kizzire placed fifth in this area in Strokes Gained: Approach and 10th in Strokes Gained: Total. Ironically, it was an inconsistent putter that held him off the top of the board for that amount of time. During his career, he has won an average of 0.8 strokes per putt per tournament, which is his best statistical category.
There have been flashes of the putter returning to form in recent weeks. If he can maintain that iron game streak, I like the odds that he will pull through and lead him to victory this week.